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Old June 17th 05, 06:53 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Today's model interpretation (17/06/05)

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for 12z on Tuesday. Issued 0546z,
17/06/05.

The warm weather continues across much of England and Wales, with the models
showing high pressure close by for a week at least. Southern and eastern
areas of the UK look like staying largely dry (except Tuesday), whereas the
further north you are the cloudier it will be (with a greater chance of rain
too).

ECMWF: http://64.246.48.81/pics/Recm1201.gif
High pressure covers the UK, with light winds for all. Much the same is true
at T+144, although SW'lies affect Scotland from a low to the south of
Iceland. Westerlies cover Northern Ireland and Scotland at T+168, with light
winds elsewhere.

MetO: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1201.html
Westerlies cover the UK with a low to the north and a ridge over the English
Channel. The ridge builds over the UK at T+144 with light winds for all.

GFS: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/pslv_frame.htm
A low lies to the west of Scotland, with westerlies and SW'lies across the
UK as a result. 850hPa temperatures vary from +4C over northern Scotland to
+9C over SE England. A ridge brings WNW'lies to most at T+144, followed by
southerlies and SW'lies as it moves over eastern England at T+168. England
and Wales lie under a col on day 8 with SW'lies and southerlies elsewhere,
followed by westerlies and NW'lies for all on day 9. The winds strengthen at
T+240 as a weak ridge moves over the UK.
Ensembles: http://217.160.75.104/pics/MT8_London_ens.png
The London ensembles show the current hot conditions aloft persisting for
over a week, albeit with a slight decrease in temperatures on Tuesday as a
front moves through, bringing some rain.

GEM: http://www.meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html
The Canadian run shows SW'lies across the UK with high pressure to the SW.
The high moves NE'wards over England and Wales at T+144, bringing SW'lies
and WSW'lies elsewhere.

GME/DWD:
http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...170000_120.gif
A low lies to the SE of Iceland, with westerlies for all. A ridge moves over
Ireland at T+144, leading to NE'lies for England and Wales, with northerlies
and NW'lies over Scotland.

JMA: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rjma1201.html
A large high covers England, Northern Ireland and Wales, bringing light
winds there and SW'lies for Scotland. The high builds over the North Sea at
T+144, leading to southerlies and SW'lies over the UK.

NOGAPS: http://wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rngp1201.gif
NOGAPS shows a very similar picture to the Japanese run, that of light winds
(except Scotland) at T+120 with southerlies and SW'lies at T+144.

KMA: http://www.kma.go.kr/kma03/gif/g21nh_smsr_120.gif
High pressure covers much of the UK, leading to SW'lies for Scotland and
Northern Ireland, with NE'lies over SE England.




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