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Old June 24th 05, 06:59 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Today's model interpretation (24/06/05)

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for 12z on Tuesday. Issued 0558z,
24/06/05.

The models continue to show warm conditions aloft over England and Wales,
with Scotland and Northern Ireland eventually seeing warmer conditions as
high pressure builds next week. Meanwhile the far south of England will be
seeing cloudier skies by midweek, with a good chance of rain from nearby low
pressure. As ever, more runs are needed.

ECMWF: http://64.246.48.81/pics/Recm1201.gif
High pressure covers the North Sea, leading to southerlies for Scotland,
variable winds for Northern Ireland and easterlies elsewhere. A trough
approaches Ireland at T+144, leading to southerlies for most areas. By T+168
the trough deepens over northern Scotland, while the rest of the UK lies
under westerlies.

MetO: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1201.html
Easterlies and SE'lies cover the UK, with low pressure over France and a
high east of Scotland. The high builds NE'wards at T+144, leaving Scotland
under a ridge and bringing easterlies for all.

GFS: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/pslv_frame.htm
Two lows lie to the SW and SE of the UK, with high pressure east of
Scotland. This results in easterlies and SE'lies over the UK, with 850hPa
temperatures from +9C over northern Scotland to +15C over southern England.
Easterlies persist over much of England and Wales at T+144, with southerlies
elsewhere. Day 7 sees a trough over England and Wales and there's little
change on day 8 - winds are light elsewhere. By day 9 an Atlantic low
deepens across Scotland, bringing NW'lies and westerlies for the UK, with
more of the same on day 10.
Ensembles: http://217.160.75.104/pics/MT8_London_ens.png
The London ensembles show warm conditions aloft persisting for over a week,
although by next Wednesday it currently looks like turning quite wet due to
nearby low pressure.

GEM: http://www.meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html
The Canadian run shows easterlies and ESE'lies, again with high pressure to
the north. The high declines over Norway at T+144, leaving the UK under
light easterlies and SE'lies.

GME/DWD:
http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...240000_120.gif
Easterlies cover the UK with high pressure over Scotland. There's little
change at T+144.

JMA: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rjma1201.html
The Japanese run is very similar, showing a ridge over Scotland and Northern
Ireland with easterlies elsewhere. Scotland lies under southerlies at T+144
as the ridge becomes a high to the east, while easterlies persist over
England and Wales.

NOGAPS: http://wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rngp1201.gif
High pressure covers the UK with light winds for all. The high moves
NE'wards at T+144, introducing SE'lies.

KMA: http://www.kma.go.kr/kma03/gif/g21nh_smsr_120.gif
The Korean output shows easterlies over the UK with high pressure across
Scotland.



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