Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for 12z on Tuesday. Issued 0549z,
1/07/05.

The models are somewhat mixed today, although they all show the general
theme of a trough from the west affecting the UK. The GFS in particular
paints an unsettled and cool picture, whereas other runs (such as MetO)
would keep things largely dry for southern and eastern areas. As ever, more
runs are needed.

ECMWF: http://64.246.48.81/pics/Recm1201.gif
Low pressure covers the UK with light winds for all. The low deepens and
moves eastwards at T+144, allowing NNW'lies to cover the UK. A weak trough
covers much of the UK at T+168 and this leads to northerlies and NW'lies.

MetO: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1201.html
The UK lies between a trough to the west and a ridge to the east, with
WSW'lies for all. The trough moves swiftly eastwards at T+144, leaving the
UK under westerlies.

GFS: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/pslv_frame.htm
As with ECM the UK lies under a low, although this time the low is part of
complex low pressure to the north. 850hPa temperatures vary from +2C over NW
Scotland to +7C over SW England. The lows merge and deepen over the North
Sea at T+144, resulting in strong easterlies for Scotland with northerlies
and WNW'lies elsewhere. T+168 sees the low slowly fill over the North Sea,
with NW'lies and westerlies for the UK. A new low lies to the west at T+192,
leaving the UK under light and variable winds. The low deepens across the UK
on day 9 and by day 10 the UK lies under light northerlies as the low fills
over the North Sea.
Ensembles: http://217.160.75.104/pics/MT8_London_ens.png
The ensembles continue to show temperatures aloft rising until Sunday, then
falling sharply by Tuesday. Thereafter they slowly rise aagin, with some
rain.

GEM: http://www.meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html
The Canadian run shows a ridge and light winds over the UK. By T+144 a
trough brings southerlies to Scotland and westerlies to Northern Ireland,
with light winds elsewhere.

GME/DWD:
http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...010000_120.gif
Unavailable today.

JMA: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rjma1201.html
SW'lies cover the UK with a trough to the west. The trough moves across the
UK at T+144 with NW'lies following behind.

NOGAPS: http://wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rngp1201.gif
Westerlies and SW'lies cover the UK with a ridge to the south and a trough
over Scotland. Complex low pressure dominates the UK at T+144, bringing
SW'lies and SSW'lies for much of England and Wales.

KMA: http://www.kma.go.kr/kma03/gif/g21nh_smsr_120.gif
Wsterlies cover the UK as the result of a ridge over Biscay.