Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for 12z on Sunday. Issued 0601z,
6/07/05.

The runs show dry, warm and settled conditions for much of the UK for the
first half of next week at least. High pressure looks like settling over the
UK and this time even Scotland and Northern Ireland should join in the sunny
conditions. Some of the runs show an easterly breeze across southern areas
and SE England in particular and this will lower temperatures somewhat
there; it could also bring in cloud from the North Sea.

ECMWF: http://64.246.48.81/pics/Recm1201.gif
High pressure is centred near to Scotland, leading to easterlies and
NE'lies. The high builds over Shetland at T+144, introducing southerlies to
Scotland with easterlies elsewhere. By day 7 a ridge from the west covers
the UK with westerlies for northern areas and NE'lies for SE England.

MetO: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1201.html
The UK lies under a large high at T+120 and T+144, with light winds for all.

GFS: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/pslv_frame.htm
Light winds cover the UK, which lies under a ridge from the NE. 850hPa
temperatures vary from +9C over northern Scotland to +11C over southern
England. The high builds east of Aberdeen at T+144 with light winds,
followed by more of the same on day 7. By then an easterly and NE'ly flow
covers southern and SE England respectively and easterlies and ENE'lies
affect much of England and Wales on day 8 as the high moves slowly
northwards. Day 9 sees easterlies and ESE'lies over much of the UK, followed
by cyclonic ESE'lies and easterlies from a low to the south of Ireland on
day 10.
Ensembles: http://217.160.75.104/pics/MT8_London_ens.png
The ensembles still show a prolonged dry spell for London, although it's
likely to be warm rather than hot. By next weekend (15/16th) some runs bring
in a thundery low, but the majority keep things settled.

GEM: http://www.meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html
The Canadian run shows high pressure over Scotland with easterlies and
NE'lies over much of England and Wales. There's little change at T+144 as
the high persists over Scotland and Northern Ireland.

GME/DWD:
http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...060000_120.gif
Easterlies and NE'lies cover the UK, which lies under a ridge from a high to
the NE. High pressure recentres across the UK at T+144 with light winds for
all.

JMA: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rjma1201.html
High pressure is centred over Scotland and Northern Ireland with ENE'lies
elsewhere. The high builds at T+144 with light winds for all.

NOGAPS: http://wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rngp1201.gif
As with the other runs, high pressure dominates the UK, this time being
centred over southern Scotland. The far north lies under westerlies, with
easterlies across England and Wales. The high builds at T+144 with light
winds for all.

KMA: http://www.kma.go.kr/kma03/gif/g21nh_smsr_120.gif
A ridge from the west covers the UK, bringing northerlies and NE'lies.

Darren Prescott wrote:

The runs show dry, warm and settled conditions for much of the UK for the
first half of next week at least. High pressure looks like settling over the
UK and this time even Scotland and Northern Ireland should join in the sunny
conditions. Some of the runs show an easterly breeze across southern areas
and SE England in particular and this will lower temperatures somewhat
there; it could also bring in cloud from the North Sea.


Ohhh goody, some Easterly gloom to replace this... Westerly gloom

gritted teeth
Mustn't complain - the garden needs it.
/gritted teeth

--
Chris
www.ivy-house.net
Swaffham, Norfolk

Darren Prescott wrote:
Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for 12z on Sunday. Issued 0601z,
6/07/05.

The runs show dry, warm and settled conditions for much of the UK for the
first half of next week at least. High pressure looks like settling over the
UK and this time even Scotland and Northern Ireland should join in the sunny
conditions. Some of the runs show an easterly breeze across southern areas
and SE England in particular and this will lower temperatures somewhat
there; it could also bring in cloud from the North Sea.

This is looking good for me. I am waiting to cut hay and have been
following the possibilities of this high for several days. If conditions
still look good, I should be able to cut on Friday.


--
Howard Neil
(western end of the Brecon Beacons National Park, at 235 metres asl)

"Howard Neil" wrote in message


This is looking good for me. I am waiting to cut hay and have been
following the possibilities of this high for several days. If conditions
still look good, I should be able to cut on Friday.

Did you take a scalping for silage or what? I would have thought that
you should have had it in by the 21st of June or thereabouts.

If it gets damp now you will be in trouble, will you?


--
Posted via Mailgate.ORG Server - http://www.Mailgate.ORG

Michael Mcneil wrote:
"Howard Neil" wrote in message



This is looking good for me. I am waiting to cut hay and have been
following the possibilities of this high for several days. If conditions
still look good, I should be able to cut on Friday.


Did you take a scalping for silage or what? I would have thought that
you should have had it in by the 21st of June or thereabouts.

No, no silage. I am part of a Welsh agri-environmental scheme called Tir
Gofal. Under that scheme I am not normally allowed to cut hay before
15th July. This year, because the grass has seeded a little earlier than
normal, I have been given a derogation to cut early.


If it gets damp now you will be in trouble, will you?

Yes. I had that problem last year. Fortunately, I had enough in the hay
loft for two years but I really need some good hay this year. The up
side is that I have "old fashioned" hay meadows that have lots of
flowers in them. The hay is of a superb quality.

--
Howard Neil

In uk.sci.weather on Wed, 6 Jul 2005 at 06:03:48, Darren Prescott wrote
:
Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for 12z on Sunday. Issued 0601z,
6/07/05.

The runs show dry, warm and settled conditions for much of the UK for the
first half of next week at least. High pressure looks like settling over the
UK and this time even Scotland and Northern Ireland should join in the sunny
conditions.

On the model I checked, it looks likely to be positively scorching.

All I can hope is that the wind will be from a non-humid direction.
--
Paul Hyett, Cheltenham

Paul Hyett wrote:
In uk.sci.weather on Wed, 6 Jul 2005 at 06:03:48, Darren Prescott wrote
:

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for 12z on Sunday. Issued 0601z,
6/07/05.

The runs show dry, warm and settled conditions for much of the UK for the
first half of next week at least. High pressure looks like settling over the
UK and this time even Scotland and Northern Ireland should join in the sunny
conditions.


On the model I checked, it looks likely to be positively scorching.

All I can hope is that the wind will be from a non-humid direction.


http://ukie.accuweather.com/adcbin/u...ric=1&partner=

Some interesting thoughts from Joe.
--
Keith (Southend)

'Weather Home & Abroad'
http://www.southendweather.net