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Old July 6th 05, 10:13 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default [OT] Dangerous Dennis

It's looking quite potent -

CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR
INTENSIFICATION TO...AND THEN SUSTAINING...MAJOR HURRICANE STATUS.
IN FACT...THE LATEST GFDL MODEL OUTPUT FORECASTS 127 KT AND 931 MB
BY 48 HOURS...WHILE THE SHIPS GUIDANCE SHOWS ABOUT 100 KT IN 72
HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST MORE CLOSELY FOLLOWS THE SHIPS
GUIDANCE AND IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...MAKING DENNIS A
MAJOR HURRICANE IN 48 HOURS.

Joe



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Old July 7th 05, 10:58 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default [OT] Dangerous Dennis


Oh dear, guess where my friend is going for his Holidays next week !!

Looks favourable for a decent hurricane

Paul


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Old July 7th 05, 12:55 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default [OT] Dangerous Dennis

"Joe Hunt" wrote in news:3j2vscFnsm79U1
@individual.net:

It's looking quite potent -

CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR
INTENSIFICATION TO...AND THEN SUSTAINING...MAJOR HURRICANE STATUS.
IN FACT...THE LATEST GFDL MODEL OUTPUT FORECASTS 127 KT AND 931 MB
BY 48 HOURS...WHILE THE SHIPS GUIDANCE SHOWS ABOUT 100 KT IN 72
HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST MORE CLOSELY FOLLOWS THE SHIPS
GUIDANCE AND IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...MAKING DENNIS A
MAJOR HURRICANE IN 48 HOURS.


Duly, Dennis has complied - 105mph at 1pm BST today.

A colleague of mine was at the National Hurricane Center last Wednesday
having a meeting with one of the forecasters who used to work us - his
words were "this one needs watching".

Richard
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Old July 7th 05, 11:45 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Posts: 155
Default [OT] Dangerous Dennis


"Joe Hunt" wrote in message
...
It's looking quite potent -

CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR
INTENSIFICATION TO...AND THEN SUSTAINING...MAJOR HURRICANE STATUS.
IN FACT...THE LATEST GFDL MODEL OUTPUT FORECASTS 127 KT AND 931 MB
BY 48 HOURS...WHILE THE SHIPS GUIDANCE SHOWS ABOUT 100 KT IN 72
HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST MORE CLOSELY FOLLOWS THE SHIPS
GUIDANCE AND IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...MAKING DENNIS A
MAJOR HURRICANE IN 48 HOURS.

Joe



Latest forecast has it reaching Cat 4 before slamming into Cuba.

Adam




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