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Old July 27th 05, 06:53 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Today's model interpretation (27/07/05)

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for 12z on Sunday. Issued 0552z,
27/07/05.

The models show signs of a ridge affecting the UK for the beginning of next
week, although as is often the case it'll move swiftly SE'wards over the UK
to bring about a typical north/south split. Southern areas look like
becoming increasingly dry and possibly quite warm, whereas Northern Ireland
and Scotland are more likely to see cloud streaming in from the Atlantic. As
ever, more runs are needed.

ECMWF: http://64.246.48.81/pics/Recm1201.gif
A ridge lies to the west, leading to NNW'lies and NW'lies. The ridge moves
over England and Wales at T+144, bringing westerlies and NW'lies there with
westerlies and SW'lies elsewhere. By T+168 the ridge lies to the south with
westerlies for all.

MetO: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1201.html
The UK lies under a ridge with light SW'lies and NW'lies. A trough
approaches from the west at T+144, bringing SW'lies for all.

GFS: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/pslv_frame.htm
A weak ridge covers the UK, bringing light NW'lies to most areas. 850hPa
temperatures vary from +3C over NE England to +7C over Cornwall. A trough
moves swiftly eastwards over the UK at T+144 to bring WSW'lies followed by
warmer westerlies at T+168. A ridge moves over England, Ireland and Wales at
T+144 with westerlies and NW'lies over the UK, with more of the same on day
9. By day 10 the ridge builds across most of the UK, although northern
Scotland lies under moderate westerlies.

GEM: http://www.meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html
Ireland is covered by a ridge, leading to light northerlies for much of
England and Wales, with SW'lies elsewhere. SW'lies move across much of the
UK at T+144 as the ridge moves SE'wards.

GME/DWD:
http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...270000_120.gif
Cloudy westerlies and NW'lies cover the UK, once again due to a weak ridge
over Ireland. A trough moves eastwards at T+144 to bring westerlies for all.

JMA: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rjma1201.html
The UK lies under northerlies wih a ridge over Ireland and Scotland. The
ridge moves eatwards at T+144, introducing westerlies to Northern Ireland
and Scotland. By T+168 the whole of the UK lies under WSW'lies as the ridge
sinks SE'wards.

NOGAPS: http://wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rngp1201.gif
NOGAPS shows a trough over England and Wales with light winds across the UK.
The trough moves away to the east at T+144, allowing westerlies and WNW'lies
to affect the UK.

KMA: http://www.kma.go.kr/kma03/gif/g21nh_smsr_120.gif
The Korean model shows a ridge from the west affecting the UK, with
northerlies for most.



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Old July 27th 05, 01:17 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Today's model interpretation (27/07/05)

Ironic that the return of westerlies should bring about a huge
improvement next week!

Nick



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