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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for 12z on Thursday. Issued
0559z, 8/08/05. The runs are mixed today but there are growing signs of low pressure affecting the UK by Sunday, followed by northerlies as pressure rises to the east. The models are still changing a fair bit between runs, so as ever more runs are needed. ECMWF: http://64.246.48.81/pics/Recm1201.gif The UK lies under easterlies and NE'lies, due to low pressure west of Cornwall. The low fills over the English Channel at T+144 with further easterlies, followed by northerlies at T+168. MetO: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1201.html A shallow trough covers Northern Ireland, resulting in SW'lies and westerlies for the UK. The trough moves swiftly eastwards as pressure rises to the west at T+144, leaving the UK under northerlies and NW'lies. GFS: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/pslv_frame.htm WSW'lies and SW'lies cover the UK as the result of a ridge to the south and a deep low to the west. 850hPa temperatures vary from +5C over NW Scotland to +9C over southern England. The low fills over Scotland at T+144, bringing westerlies elsewhere, followed by northerlies at T+168. A ridge then builds over Ireland at T+192, resulting in northerlies and westerlies. Westerlies affect all areas on day 9 as the ridge moves eastwards, followed by light winds for all on day 10. GEM: http://www.meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html The Canadian run shows a trough over the North Sea and a mixture of northerlies and NW'lies for the UK. The trough moves NE'wards at T+144, allowing NW'lies to affect all of the UK. GME/DWD: http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...080000_120.gif A ridge covers Scotland and Northern Ireland, while a trough brings northerlies for England and Wales. The ridge builds at T+144, bringing light winds to most areas - the exception is SE England, which lies under NE'lies. JMA: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rjma1201.html The Japanese run shows a low over Ireland with southerlies and SE'lies across the UK. The low moves over SE England at T+144, leading to easterlies for many areas. By T+168 the winds become NE'lies as the low fills over SE England. NOGAPS: http://wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rngp1201.gif Northerlies associated with a ridge to the SW cover the UK. The ridge sinks SE'wards as low pressure fills to the south of Iceland at T+144, leading to westerlies and NW'lies for the UK. KMA: http://www.kma.go.kr/kma03/gif/g21nh_smsr_120.gif The Korean run shows northerlies across the UK, which lies between a high to the west and a low to the east. |
#2
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In article ,
Darren Prescott writes: Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for 12z on Thursday. Issued 0559z, 8/08/05. The runs are mixed today but there are growing signs of low pressure affecting the UK by Sunday, followed by northerlies as pressure rises to the east. Surely pressure rising to the east wouldn't bring northerlies? -- John Hall "Banking was conceived in iniquity and born in sin" Sir Josiah Stamp, a former president of the Bank of England |
#3
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"John Hall" wrote in message ...
Surely pressure rising to the east wouldn't bring northerlies? You're right - I meant to say pressure rising to the west, but I mucked it up (and there's no "edit" button on Usenet!) I guess that's what happens if you wake up half an hour earlier than normal and try to write things when you're still groggy, sorry all. |
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