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Old August 8th 05, 07:01 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Today's model interpretation (8/08/05)

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for 12z on Thursday. Issued
0559z, 8/08/05.

The runs are mixed today but there are growing signs of low pressure
affecting the UK by Sunday, followed by northerlies as pressure rises to the
east. The models are still changing a fair bit between runs, so as ever more
runs are needed.

ECMWF: http://64.246.48.81/pics/Recm1201.gif
The UK lies under easterlies and NE'lies, due to low pressure west of
Cornwall. The low fills over the English Channel at T+144 with further
easterlies, followed by northerlies at T+168.

MetO: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1201.html
A shallow trough covers Northern Ireland, resulting in SW'lies and
westerlies for the UK. The trough moves swiftly eastwards as pressure rises
to the west at T+144, leaving the UK under northerlies and NW'lies.

GFS: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/pslv_frame.htm
WSW'lies and SW'lies cover the UK as the result of a ridge to the south and
a deep low to the west. 850hPa temperatures vary from +5C over NW Scotland
to +9C over southern England. The low fills over Scotland at T+144, bringing
westerlies elsewhere, followed by northerlies at T+168. A ridge then builds
over Ireland at T+192, resulting in northerlies and westerlies. Westerlies
affect all areas on day 9 as the ridge moves eastwards, followed by light
winds for all on day 10.

GEM: http://www.meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html
The Canadian run shows a trough over the North Sea and a mixture of
northerlies and NW'lies for the UK. The trough moves NE'wards at T+144,
allowing NW'lies to affect all of the UK.

GME/DWD:
http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...080000_120.gif
A ridge covers Scotland and Northern Ireland, while a trough brings
northerlies for England and Wales. The ridge builds at T+144, bringing light
winds to most areas - the exception is SE England, which lies under NE'lies.

JMA: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rjma1201.html
The Japanese run shows a low over Ireland with southerlies and SE'lies
across the UK. The low moves over SE England at T+144, leading to easterlies
for many areas. By T+168 the winds become NE'lies as the low fills over SE
England.

NOGAPS: http://wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rngp1201.gif
Northerlies associated with a ridge to the SW cover the UK. The ridge sinks
SE'wards as low pressure fills to the south of Iceland at T+144, leading to
westerlies and NW'lies for the UK.

KMA: http://www.kma.go.kr/kma03/gif/g21nh_smsr_120.gif
The Korean run shows northerlies across the UK, which lies between a high to
the west and a low to the east.



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Old August 8th 05, 09:58 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Today's model interpretation (8/08/05)

In article ,
Darren Prescott writes:
Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for 12z on Thursday. Issued
0559z, 8/08/05.

The runs are mixed today but there are growing signs of low pressure
affecting the UK by Sunday, followed by northerlies as pressure rises to the
east.


Surely pressure rising to the east wouldn't bring northerlies?
--
John Hall
"Banking was conceived in iniquity and born in sin"

Sir Josiah Stamp, a former president of the Bank of England
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Old August 8th 05, 10:15 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Today's model interpretation (8/08/05)

"John Hall" wrote in message ...
Surely pressure rising to the east wouldn't bring northerlies?

You're right - I meant to say pressure rising to the west, but I mucked it
up (and there's no "edit" button on Usenet!)

I guess that's what happens if you wake up half an hour earlier than normal
and try to write things when you're still groggy, sorry all.




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