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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for 12z on Monday. Issued 0600z,
1/09/05. The models are mixed today. Everything's on offer from lows atop the UK, to cols, to ridges... The GFS was a cold outlier around day 7, suggesting its solution of an active low to the north isn't well supported. Nonetheless, it's now looking cooler and wetter for the first half of next week. ECMWF: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Recm1201.gif A ridge covers the UK, bringing light winds for all. The winds become WSW'lies at T+144, followed by more of the same at T+168. By then a low lies to the north, no doubt bringing cloudy conditions to Scotland and Northern Ireland. MetO: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rukm1201.gif Light winds and a trough cover the UK, followed by light northerlies at T+144 as the trough moves very slowly eastwards. GFS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rtavn1201.gif A shallow trough covers the UK, bringing NW'lies to Scotland and Northern Ireland, with westerlies for England and Wales. 850hPa temperatures vary from +3C over NW Scotland to +7C over much of England and Wales. A weak ridge brings westerlies to England and Wales, with SW'lies elsewhere at T+144, followed by westerlies for all as a trough moves eastwards at T+168. GEM: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rgem1201.gif The Canadian run shows SW'lies for most, due to a trough over Ireland. The trough moves eastwards at T+144, leaving the UK under westerlies. SW'lies move over the UK again at T+168 as another trough crosses Scotland. GME/DWD: http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...010000_120.gif A low lies over Biscay, bringing easterlies across the UK. A ridge covers the UK at T+144, with light winds for all. JMA: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rjma1201.gif The Japanese run shows westerlies over the UK, due to a high to the SW and a low to the NW. The westerlies strengthen over England and Wales at T+144 as the high declines. NOGAPS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rngp1201.gif NOGAPS shows a col over the UK with light winds for all. There's little change for England and Wales at T+144, but a trough brings westerlies to Scotland and Northern Ireland. KMA: http://www.kma.go.kr/kma03/gif/g21nh_smsr_120.gif The Korean run shows a col and light winds over the UK. |
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