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This forecast summary is my *PERSONAL OPINION* of how the weather may unfold
next week. I will take no responsibility whatsoever for any actions arising from
its use. It is provided freely in the spirit of freedom and the great love for
meteorology that I personally enjoy and wish to share freely with others.

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Summary valid for Sunday 02/10/05 to Saturday 08/10/05
TOI (time of issue) Saturday 30/09/05 1800 UK local time

This summary is based on a quick appraisal of the GFS, JMA, ECMWF, UKMO, FAX,
and ENS (NCEP ensemble) labelled charts available from the superb
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten

High confidence that there will be plenty of dry and anticyclonic weather next
week. Moderate confidence that later in the week a change to more unsettled
conditions will come in gradually from the west. Low confidence on details of
the expected change.

Sunday looks like seeing a lot of cloud in most places with occasional light and
patchy rain, but generally becoming dry with light winds and temperatures around
normal.

From Monday to Wednesday most places should be dry with variable amounts of
cloud and some sunshine. generally light winds as an anticyclone transfers east
across the UK to lie to the east of Britain by Wednesday. A stronger SW wind at
times in NW Scotland may bring some light rain and drizzle. Also SE England may
see some patchy rain coming in from the continent at times. Temperatures
slightly above average with the chance of fog at night if skies clear. Frost
unlikely.

During Thursday to Saturday the anticyclone will edge further away eastwards
allowing Atlantic frontal systems and strengthening southerly winds to move into
western areas, eventually bringing spells of quite heavy rain, although timing
of encroachment is uncertain. It is likely that by Saturday most places will
have seen the change to rainy conditions. Temperatures staying above average
with the risk of fog in the east but becoming too windy in western areas later
for any fog. Frost unlikely. Some sunshine before the rain arrives in the west.

Finally, Haytor meteorological office are pleased to announce that we will be
resuming the extended outlook for two weeks ahead with every forecast from now
on. So for the following week beginning 9/10/05 with moderate confidence it
looks like turning very wet and unsettled. A deep low looks like becoming slow
moving to the SW of Briatin threatening spells of heavy slow-moving bands of
rain with the risk of flooding, especially in southwest England and Wales. Wet
conditions should ease during the week as the low fills and moves away. Risk of
gales early in the week. Temperatures around normal with only a low risk of
frost.


Will (Chief forecaster USW).
--

" Ah yet another Womble day to enjoy "
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A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet).

mailto:
www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...antage_Pro.htm

DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal
and do not necessarily represent those of my employer.
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